Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Estonia
36.11%	26.37%	37.53%

Both teams to score 52.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24%

51.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47%

73.52%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2%

26.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91%

62.08%

Score Analysis

Iceland 36.11%

Estonia 37.53%

Draw 26.37%

Iceland	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.53%