San Marino vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.