UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

San Marino
0 - 4
Estonia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Anier (38', 77'), Teniste (56'), Sappinen (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: San Marino 0-0 Seychelles
Wednesday, September 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Estonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Estonia 2-1 Malta
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Estonia
26.53% ( -0.01)	23.16% ( 0)	50.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.54% (

-0.03)

41.46% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.14% (

-0.03)

63.86% (

0.03)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

-0.02)

28.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-0.03)

64.67% (

0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

-0.01)

16.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55% (

-0.02)

46.45% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

San Marino 26.53%

Estonia 50.31%

Draw 23.16%

San Marino	Draw	Estonia
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.53%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.31%