Baltic Cup | Third Place Final

Nov 19, 2022 at 2pm UK

A. Le Coq Arena

Estonia
2 - 0
Lithuania

Zenjov (65'), Peetson (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Baltic Cup Third Place Final clash between Estonia and Lithuania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions

Baltic Cup

Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Estonia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 0-0 Iceland (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Lithuania
54.18% ( 0.01)	22.13% ( 0)	23.7% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.91% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.65% (

-0.02)

39.34% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.31% (

-0.02)

61.68% (

0.02)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

-0.01)

14.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

-0.01)

42.57% (

0.01)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.02)

29.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0.03)

65.99% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Estonia 54.18%

Lithuania 23.7%

Draw 22.13%

Estonia	Draw	Lithuania
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.18%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.7%