Lithuania vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.