UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Romania
4 - 1
Bosnia H'vina

Man (38'), Puscas (73', 86'), Ratiu (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dzeko (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Romania and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Finland 1-1 Romania
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (12.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
36.43% ( 0.04)	30.08% ( 0)	33.5% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 41.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.61% (

-0.01)

65.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84% (

-0)

84.16% (

0.01)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

0.02)

34.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

0.02)

70.98% (

-0.02)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

-0.03)

36.29% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

-0.03)

73.07% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Romania 36.42%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 33.49%

Draw 30.07%

Romania	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.42%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.43% 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.07%	0-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.49%