Liechtenstein national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion
Iceland national football team

Liechtenstein
1 - 4
Iceland

Frick (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mar Saevarsson (12'), Bjarnason (45+1'), Palsson (77'), Mar Sigurjonsson (90+4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Liechtenstein and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 41%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
LiechtensteinDrawIceland
33.36%25.63%41%
Both teams to score 54.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51%48.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92%71.07%
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.59%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32%23.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21%57.78%
Score Analysis
    Liechtenstein 33.36%
    Iceland 41%
    Draw 25.63%
LiechtensteinDrawIceland
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.36%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41%