Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Moldova.