UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 25, 2022 at 2pm UK

Moldova
2 - 0
Liechtenstein

Stina (90+2', 90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Moldova
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Liechtenstein

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Andorra
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Moldova.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Liechtenstein
51.01% ( 0.06)	22.38% ( -0.01)	26.61% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.22% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.29% (

-0.01)

37.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

-0.01)

59.96% (

0.01)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

0.02)

15.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

0.03)

43.48% (

-0.04)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.04)

26.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-0.06)

62.08% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Moldova 51.01%

Liechtenstein 26.61%

Draw 22.38%

Moldova	Draw	Liechtenstein
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.38%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.61%