With little goal threat to worry about from toothless Liechtenstein, the path is clear for Moldova to repeat the same scoreline that brought maximum points from the reverse fixture. Though that may not be enough to secure promotion, sealing second spot with four wins from six would still be commendable.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Moldova.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
