Nations League
Sep 22, 2022 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Janis Ikaunieks 55' goal
  • goal Ioan-Calin Revenco 26'
  • goal Ion Nicolaescu 45'

Latvia vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 14, 2022 7.45pm
Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Latvia

Moldova

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 14, 2022 5.00pm
Moldova 2 - 1 Andorra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Moldova win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Latvia 44.37% (-0.06)
Draw 25.08% (+0.02)
Moldova 30.54% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.69% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.43% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.57% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.77% (+0.04)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 78.55% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.45% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.53% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.47% (+0.07)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.02% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Latvia 44.38%
Draw 25.08%
Moldova 30.54%
Latvia
1-0 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.08%
Moldova
0-1 @ 7.71% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 30.54%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 10, 2022 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ion Nicolaescu 5' goal
  • Vadim Bolohan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 64' goal
  • goal Vladislavs Gutkovskis 19'
  • yellowcard Antonijs Cernomordijs 21'
  • goal Janis Ikaunieks 26'
  • yellowcard Andrejs Cigaņiks 45'
  • goal Vladislavs Gutkovskis 60'
  • goal Janis Ikaunieks 75'