Nations League | League D
Sep 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
Latvia1 - 2Moldova
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Latvia
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Latvia 2-1 Moldova
Latvia and Moldova each have decent strikers to build around in the shape of Vladislavs Gutkovskis and Ion Nicolaescu respectively, so we can envisage a few goals in Riga on Thursday. However, the hosts head into this match in much better form, while also possessing the advantage of being able to settle for a draw, so we can see them picking their opponents off at some stage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Moldova win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Moldova |
44.37% ( -0.06) | 25.08% ( 0.01) | 30.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
