UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 22, 2022 at 5pm UK

Latvia
1 - 2
Moldova

Ikaunieks (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Revenco (26'), Nicolaescu (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Latvia
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Moldova

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Moldova 2-1 Andorra
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Moldova win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Moldova
44.37% ( -0.06)	25.08% ( 0.01)	30.54% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.69% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-0.04)

47.57% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-0.04)

69.77% (

0.04)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55% (

-0.04)

21.45% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53% (

-0.07)

54.47% (

0.06)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

0.01)

29.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

0.01)

65.02% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Latvia 44.38%

Moldova 30.54%

Draw 25.08%

Latvia	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.38%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.54%