UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 14, 2022 at 5pm UK

Moldova
2 - 1
Andorra

Caimacov (26' pen.), Nicolaescu (50' pen.)
Caimacov (33'), Rata (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vieira (45+4')
Rubio (25'), Rubio (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

Last Six:

Last Game: Moldova 2-4 Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Andorra

Last Six:

Last Game: Andorra 2-1 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Moldova in this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Andorra
46.92% ( -0.03)	22.72% ( -0.02)	30.35% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 63.93% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.29% (

0.1)

36.71% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.13% (

0.11)

58.87% (

-0.12)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

0.03)

16.08% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.54% (

0.05)

45.46% (

-0.06)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.07)

23.82% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

0.11)

58% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Moldova 46.92%

Andorra 30.35%

Draw 22.72%

Moldova	Draw	Andorra
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.92%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.35%