Euro Champ Qualifying
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Joao Cancelo
8'
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Bernardo Silva
47'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
51'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
63'
Portugal vs Liechtenstein - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 99.33%. A draw had a probability of 0.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 5-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (16%) and 6-0 (14.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.52%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result
Portugal
99.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
0.64%
▼
(-0.31)
Liechtenstein
0.02%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
4.22%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
89.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
10.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
77.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
22.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
99.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
0.54%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
96.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
3.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5
4.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
95.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
0.09%
Under 1.5
99.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Portugal
99.31%
Draw
0.64%
Liechtenstein
0.03%
Portugal
5-0
@
16.72%
4-0 @ 16% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 14.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.03)
7-0 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.02)
8-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.02)
9-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
10-0 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
11-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 99.31%
4-0 @ 16% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 14.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.03)
7-0 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.02)
8-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.02)
9-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
10-0 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
11-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 99.31%
Draw
Other @
0.64%
Total : 0.64%
Total : 0.64%
Liechtenstein
Other @
0.03%
Total : 0.03%
Total : 0.03%
Form Data
Build-up
News
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