Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.