We said: Iceland 1-2 Slovakia
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting Saturday's contest to be close in terms of the final scoreline. It would not be a surprise to see Iceland pick up a positive result, but we believe that Slovakia will just shade it to collect a hugely important three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Slovakia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
-0.7) 
1.25) 
