Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Laugardalsvollur
  • Alfred Finnbogason 41' goal
  • goal Juraj Kucka 27'
  • goal Tomas Suslov 69'

Iceland vs Slovakia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 5.00pm
Liechtenstein 0 - 7 Iceland

Slovakia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Slovakia 2 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Slovakia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result

Iceland 17.97% (-0.70)
Draw 22.51% (-0.54)
Slovakia 59.52% (+1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.76% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.44% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 48.56% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 29.32% (+1.08)
Under 3.5 70.68% (-1.07)
Over 4.5 14.2% (+0.73)
Under 4.5 85.8% (-0.73)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 40.8% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 22.62% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 77.38% (+0.11)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5 84.06% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 15.94% (-0.84)
Over 1.5 54.79% (+1.52)
Under 1.5 45.21% (-1.52)

Score analysis

Iceland 17.97%
Draw 22.5%
Slovakia 59.51%
Iceland
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.61% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.5%
Slovakia
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 10.96% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.83% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 6.71% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 6.02% (+0.20)
0-4 @ 3.08% (+0.20)
1-4 @ 2.76% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.24% (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.13% (+0.11)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-91.69)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 59.51%