Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Portugal national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team

Portugal
3 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Silva (44'), Fernandes (77', 90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Portugal and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in their Euro 2024 qualification future with Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-6 Portugal
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Bosnia H'vina
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
71.04% (3.468 3.47)17.73% (-1.404 -1.4)11.23% (-2.062 -2.06)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-1.697 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (1.153 1.15)41.71% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (1.152 1.15)64.12% (-1.149 -1.15)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (1.23 1.23)10.48% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (2.706 2.71)34.11% (-2.703 -2.7)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.74% (-2.671 -2.67)46.26% (2.673 2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.08% (-2.139 -2.14)81.92% (2.142 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 71.03%
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 11.23%
    Draw 17.73%
PortugalDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 12.33% (0.6 0.6)
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.881 0.88)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.179 0.18)
4-0 @ 5.23% (0.73 0.73)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.36% (0.429 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.216 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 71.03%
1-1 @ 8.43% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.383 -0.38)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.73%
0-1 @ 3.74% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 3.25% (-0.525 -0.53)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.23%

How you voted: Portugal vs Bosnia H'vina

Portugal
88.5%
Draw
4.1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
7.4%
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