Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
0 - 1
Slovakia

Thill (26'), Jans (27'), Holtz (70'), Sinani (74'), Olesen (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duris (77')
Pekarik (29'), Bozenik (79'), Hrosovsky (90+1'), Suslov (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	7	25	21
2	Slovakia	7	5	13
3	Luxembourg	7	-9	11
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	7	-2	9
5	Iceland	7	1	7
6	Liechtenstein	7	-20	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Slovakia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	7	25	21
2	Slovakia	7	5	13
3	Luxembourg	7	-9	11
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	7	-2	9
5	Iceland	7	1	7
6	Liechtenstein	7	-20	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Slovakia
20.82% ( -0.06)	22.38% ( 0.07)	56.79% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.03% (

-0.36)

43.97% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

-0.35)

66.35% (

0.35)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94% (

-0.26)

35.06% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19% (

-0.28)

71.81% (

0.28)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73% (

-0.12)

15.27% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.03% (

-0.23)

43.97% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 20.83%

Slovakia 56.79%

Draw 22.38%

Luxembourg	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.83%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.79%