Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.