Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Luxembourg national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Slovakia national football team

Luxembourg
0 - 1
Slovakia


Thill (26'), Jans (27'), Holtz (70'), Sinani (74'), Olesen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duris (77')
Pekarik (29'), Bozenik (79'), Hrosovsky (90+1'), Suslov (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Slovakia

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Slovakia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
LuxembourgDrawSlovakia
20.82% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)22.38% (0.065999999999999 0.07)56.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.36 -0.36)43.97% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (-0.352 -0.35)66.35% (0.352 0.35)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.261 -0.26)35.06% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.276 -0.28)71.81% (0.27600000000001 0.28)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.124 -0.12)15.27% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.235 -0.23)43.97% (0.234 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 20.83%
    Slovakia 56.79%
    Draw 22.38%
LuxembourgDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 5.61% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.83%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.45% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.79%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Luxembourg
15.0%
Draw
26.0%
Slovakia
59.0%
100
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
0-0
Luxembourg
> Preview
Oct 12, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Luxembourg
2-4
Slovakia
Mutsch (61'), Gerson (65' pen.)
Mutsch (9'), Philipps (20'), Payal (49'), Jans (63')
Hamsik (24', 91'), Nemec (29'), Mak (30')
Kucka (65'), Sestak (84'), Skrtel (94')
> Match Report
Mar 27, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Slovakia
3-0
Luxembourg
Nemec (10'), Weiss (21'), Pekarik (40')
Pekarik (30'), Skrtel (86')

Deville (36'), Holter (47'), Mutcsh (62')
> Match Report