Euro Champ Qualifying
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-
Orri Oskarsson
23'
-
Sverrir Ingi Ingason
66'
-
Kolbeinn Finnsson
75'
-
Enes Mahmutovic
20'
-
Alessio Curci
44'
-
Gerson Rodrigues
46'
-
Christopher Martins Pereira
64'
-
Maxime Chanot
82'
-
Anthony Moris
90'+4'
Iceland vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Iceland
38.34%
▼
(-8.46)
Draw
28.35%
▲
(+1.81)
Luxembourg
33.32%
▲
(+6.66)
Both Teams to Score:
46.54%
▼
(-2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.3%
▼
(-4.19)
Under 2.5
59.71%
▲
(+4.19)
Over 3.5
19.99%
▼
(-3.32)
Under 3.5
80.02%
▲
(+3.32)
Over 4.5
8.33%
▼
(-1.97)
Under 4.5
91.67%
▲
(+1.97)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
69.85%
▼
(-6.44)
Under 0.5
30.15%
▲
(+6.44)
Over 1.5
33.7%
▼
(-8.47)
Under 1.5
66.31%
▲
(+8.47)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
66.62%
▲
(+2.81)
Under 0.5
33.38%
▼
(-2.81)
Over 1.5
30%
▲
(+2.97)
Under 1.5
70.01%
▼
(-2.97)
Score analysis
Iceland
38.33%
Draw
28.35%
Luxembourg
33.31%
Iceland
1-0
@
12.06%
▼
(-0.28)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-1.10)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-1.66)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-1.17)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-1.38)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.47)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 38.33%
2-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-1.10)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-1.66)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-1.17)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-1.38)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.47)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 38.33%
Draw
1-1
@
13.24%
▲
(+0.69)
0-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+1.48)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.35%
0-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+1.48)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.35%
Luxembourg
0-1
@
11.04%
▲
(+2.32)
1-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.89)
0-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+1.63)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.50)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.72)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.31%
1-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.89)
0-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+1.63)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.50)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.72)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.31%
Head to Head
Euro Champ Qualifying
-
Maxime Chanot
9'
-
Enes Mahmutovic
13'
-
Christopher Martins Pereira
15'
-
Yvandro Borges Sanches
70'
-
Danel Sinani
89'
-
Hordur Magnusson
39'
-
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
56'
-
Hordur Magnusson
73'
-
Isak Bergmann Johannesson
85'
-
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
88'