Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Laugardalsvollur

Iceland
1 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Finnbogason (90+1')
Ingvi Traustason (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hadzikadunic (29'), Milicevic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Iceland and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Luxembourg 3-1 Iceland
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	15	15
2	Slovakia	5	3	10
3	Luxembourg	5	0	10
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	5	-3	6
5	Iceland	5	0	3
6	Liechtenstein	5	-15	0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 2-1 Liechtenstein
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	15	15
2	Slovakia	5	3	10
3	Luxembourg	5	0	10
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	5	-3	6
5	Iceland	5	0	3
6	Liechtenstein	5	-15	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
35% ( 0.31)	27.35% ( -0.07)	37.64% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

0.28)

55.82% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05% (

0.23)

76.95% (

-0.23)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

0.34)

30.28% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

0.4)

66.45% (

-0.4)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

-0.01)

28.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-0.01)

64.48% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Iceland 35.01%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 37.63%

Draw 27.35%

Iceland	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.63%