Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 96.68%. A draw had a probability of 3% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (17.38%) and 2-0 (14.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.08%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.