Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
2 - 1
Liechtenstein

Dzeko (3'), Luchinger (18' og.)
Kolasinac (57'), Krunic (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wolfinger (21')
Traber (66'), Malin (74'), Luchinger (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-2 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	4	14	12
2	Slovakia	4	4	10
3	Luxembourg	4	-2	7
4	Iceland	4	2	3
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	4	-4	3
6	Liechtenstein	4	-14	0

Liechtenstein

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-1 Slovakia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	4	14	12
2	Slovakia	4	4	10
3	Luxembourg	4	-2	7
4	Iceland	4	2	3
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	4	-4	3
6	Liechtenstein	4	-14	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 96.68%. A draw had a probability of 3% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (17.38%) and 2-0 (14.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.08%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Liechtenstein
96.68% ( 0.05)	3.03% ( -0.04)	0.29% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 10.11% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.27% (

0.18)

25.73% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.13% (

0.23)

45.87% (

-0.22)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.68% (

0.03)

2.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.95% (

0.11)

11.05% (

-0.1)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

10.35% (

-0.07)

89.65% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

0.55% (

-0.01)

99.45% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 96.67%

Liechtenstein 0.29%

Draw 3.03%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Liechtenstein
3-0 @ 18.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 17.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 14.73% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) 8-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 96.67%	0-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 3.03%	Other @ 0.29% Total : 0.29%