Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.