Euro Champ Qualifying
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-
Maxime Chanot
9'
-
Enes Mahmutovic
13'
-
Christopher Martins Pereira
15'
-
Yvandro Borges Sanches
70'
-
Danel Sinani
89'
-
Hordur Magnusson
39'
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Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
56'
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Hordur Magnusson
73'
-
Isak Bergmann Johannesson
85'
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Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
88'
Luxembourg vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
Result
Luxembourg
23.22%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
25.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Iceland
51.6%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
49.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.07%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
52.92%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
25.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
74.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
11.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
88.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
62.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
37.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
25.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
74.57%
▲
(+0.08)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
79.48%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
20.51%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
46.99%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
53%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Luxembourg
23.22%
Draw
25.17%
Iceland
51.6%
Luxembourg
1-0
@
7.54%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.22%
2-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.22%
Draw
1-1
@
11.94%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.17%
0-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.17%
Iceland
0-1
@
12.28%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.6%
0-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.6%