Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Portugal
3 - 2
Slovakia

Ramos (18'), Ronaldo (29' pen., 72')
Fernandes (57'), Palhinha (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hancko (69'), Lobotka (80')
Pekarik (31'), Duda (61'), Suslov (85'), Hrosovsky (90+4'), Gyomber (90+4')

Reaction

Portugal forward Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates on October 13, 2023

Cristiano Ronaldo determined to represent Portugal at Euro 2024

Al-Nassr forward Cristiano Ronaldo hopes that he will be able to represent Portugal at next summer's European Championship.

Oct 14, 12:10

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship qualifying clash between Portugal and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 9-0 Luxembourg
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	24	18
2	Slovakia	6	6	13
3	Luxembourg	6	-9	10
4	Iceland	6	1	6
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-4	6
6	Liechtenstein	6	-18	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 3-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	24	18
2	Slovakia	6	6	13
3	Luxembourg	6	-9	10
4	Iceland	6	1	6
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-4	6
6	Liechtenstein	6	-18	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Slovakia
56.93% ( -1.56)	24.28% ( 0.56)	18.78% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 46% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65% (

-0.73)

54.34% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27% (

-0.62)

75.73% (

0.62)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

-0.86)

18.96% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

-1.45)

50.48% (

1.45)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.76% (

0.77)

43.23% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51% (

0.64)

79.49% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Portugal 56.93%

Slovakia 18.78%

Draw 24.28%

Portugal	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.93%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.78%