Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
0 - 5
Portugal

Hadzikadunic (83'), Kolasinac (88')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Ronaldo (5' pen., 20'), Fernandes (25'), Cancelo (32'), Felix (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualification clash against Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Bosnia H'vina
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	7	25	21
2	Slovakia	7	5	13
3	Luxembourg	7	-9	11
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	7	-2	9
5	Iceland	7	1	7
6	Liechtenstein	7	-20	0

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Slovakia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	7	25	21
2	Slovakia	7	5	13
3	Luxembourg	7	-9	11
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	7	-2	9
5	Iceland	7	1	7
6	Liechtenstein	7	-20	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Portugal
28.04% ( -0.17)	28.18% ( 0.06)	43.78% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

-0.27)

60.61% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

-0.2)

80.7% (

0.2)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

-0.28)

37.82% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

-0.28)

74.6% (

0.28)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

-0.07)

27.53% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96% (

-0.09)

63.04% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.04%

Portugal 43.78%

Draw 28.17%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.04%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.78%