Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 5
FT Stadion Bilino Polje
  • Dennis Hadzikadunic 83' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 88' yellowcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 5'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 20'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 25'
  • goal Joao Cancelo 32'
  • goal Joao Felix 41'

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Bosnia H'vina

Portugal

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Portugal 3 - 2 Slovakia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.04% (-0.17)
Draw 28.18% (+0.06)
Portugal 43.78% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.06% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.39% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 60.61% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 19.3% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 80.7% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 7.94% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 92.06% (+0.12)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 62.18% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 37.82% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 25.4% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 74.6% (+0.28)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 72.47% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 27.53% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 36.96% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 63.04% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.04%
Draw 28.17%
Portugal 43.78%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 10.12% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 10.41% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.17%
Portugal
0-1 @ 13.43% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 8.66% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.73% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.78%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Bernardo Silva 44' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 77' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 90'+3' goal