Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho
Slovakia4 - 2Iceland
The Match
Match Report
Slovakia beat Iceland 4-2 in Bratislava to book their place at Euro 2024 in Germany next summer.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovakia and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 8 | 30 | 24 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 4 | Iceland | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 8 | -24 | 0 |
Last Game: Iceland 4-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 8 | 30 | 24 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 4 | Iceland | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 8 | -24 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Iceland win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia | Draw | Iceland |
43.89% ( -0.84) | 27.42% ( 0.09) | 28.68% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
