Euro Champ Qualifying
Iceland
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Laugardalsvollur
Liechtenstein
  • Gylfi Sigurdsson 22' goal
  • Alfred Finnbogason 44' goal
  • Gylfi Sigurdsson 49' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 63' goal
  • Orri Oskarsson 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Marxer 51'
  • yellowcard Aron Sele 59'

Iceland vs Liechtenstein - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Iceland 1 - 1 Luxembourg

Liechtenstein

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Bosnia H'vina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 91.35%. A draw had a probability of 6.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 1.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 4-0 (12.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result

Iceland 91.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Liechtenstein 1.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

26.51% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.4% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 31.6% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 46.9% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 53.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 27.95% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 72.05% ▼ (-0.19)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 95.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 4.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 82.92% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 17.08% ▼ (-0.11)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5 27.63% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 72.37% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 4.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 95.78% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Iceland 91.33%
Draw 6.88%
Liechtenstein 1.77%
Iceland
3-0 @ 16.1% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 15.08% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 12.89%
1-0 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
7-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 91.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 6.88%
Liechtenstein
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 1.77%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Liechtenstein
Mar 26, 2023 5.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 2
FT
Iceland
  • goal David Kristjan Olafsson 3'
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 38'
  • goal Aron Gunnarsson 48'
  • goal Aron Gunnarsson 68'
  • goal Aron Gunnarsson 73'
  • goal Andri Gudjohnsen 85'
  • goal Mikael Egill Ellertsson 87'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Iceland
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Liechtenstein
  • Stefan Teitur Thordarson 19' goal
  • Albert Gudmundsson 35' goal
  • Albert Gudmundsson 79' goal
  • Andri Gudjohnsen 89' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Marxer 34'
  • yellowcard Noah Frommelt 58'
  • redcard Marco Marxer 63'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Liechtenstein
Mar 31, 2021 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Rheinpark Stadion
Iceland
  • Yanik Frick 79' goal
  • goal Birkir Mar Saevarsson 12'
  • goal Birkir Bjarnason 45'+1'
  • goal Victor Palsson 77'
  • goal Runar Mar Sigurjonsson 90'+4'

Form Data

Iceland 1 - 1 Luxembourg
Iceland 1 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
Luxembourg 3 - 1 Iceland
Iceland 0 - 1 Portugal
Iceland 1 - 2 Slovakia
Liechtenstein 0 - 7 Iceland
Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Bosnia H'vina
Slovakia 3 - 0 Liechtenstein
Bosnia H'vina 2 - 1 Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein 0 - 1 Slovakia
Luxembourg 2 - 0 Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein 0 - 7 Iceland