Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
4 - 1
Bosnia H'vina

Olesen (6'), Rodrigues (30' pen., 90+5'), Mujakic (55' og.)
Martins Pereira (24'), Mahmutovic (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gojkovic (90+3')
Hadziahmetovic (26'), Cimirot (28'), Gojkovic (45+4'), Hajradinovic (69'), Dedic (71'), Krunic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	8	30	24
2	Slovakia	8	6	16
3	Luxembourg	8	-10	11
4	Iceland	8	5	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	8	-7	9
6	Liechtenstein	8	-24	0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-5 Portugal
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	8	30	24
2	Slovakia	8	6	16
3	Luxembourg	8	-10	11
4	Iceland	8	5	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	8	-7	9
6	Liechtenstein	8	-24	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
32.17% ( 1.55)	25.94% ( 0.14)	41.89% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.36% (

-0.04)

50.64% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

-0.04)

72.55% (

0.04)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

1.03)

29.54% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44% (

1.24)

65.57% (

-1.23)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-0.84)

23.96% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

-1.23)

58.19% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 32.17%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 41.88%

Draw 25.94%

Luxembourg	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.17%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.88%