Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 18, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Lucas Zelarayan 5' goal
  • Varazdat Haroyan 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 32'
  • goal Nayair Tiknizyan 45'+2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 54'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 78'

Armenia vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
Latvia 2 - 0 Armenia

Wales

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 7.45pm
Wales 2 - 1 Croatia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result

Armenia 25.23% (+0.60)
Draw 25.31% (+0.07)
Wales 49.46% (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.24% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 51.75% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 26.47% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 73.52% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 12.3% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 87.69% (-0.13)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 64.66% (+0.64)
Under 0.5 35.34% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 27.9% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 72.1% (-0.66)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 79.05% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 20.94% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 46.31% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 53.68% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Armenia 25.23%
Draw 25.3%
Wales 49.45%
Armenia
1-0 @ 7.7% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 6.26% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.17% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.7% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.39% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.3%
Wales
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 49.45%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Daniel James 10' goal
  • Harry Wilson 72' goal
  • goal Lucas Zelarayan 19'
  • goal Grant-Leon Ranos 30'
  • goal Grant-Leon Ranos 66'
  • goal Lucas Zelarayan 75'