Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.