/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farmlog.png)
-
Daniel James
10'
-
Harry Wilson
72'
-
Lucas Zelarayan
19'
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Grant-Leon Ranos
30'
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Grant-Leon Ranos
66'
-
Lucas Zelarayan
75'
Wales vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F13%2Fwales_1.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.41%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result
Wales
69.61%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
20.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Armenia
10.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
36.52%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
55.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
23.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
76.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
10.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
89.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
85.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
14.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
56.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
43.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5
42.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
57.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
10.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
89.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Wales
69.6%
Draw
20.32%
Armenia
10.07%
Wales
1-0
@
16.19%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 15.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 69.6%
2-0 @ 15.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 69.6%
Draw
1-1
@
9.08%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.32%
0-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.32%
Armenia
0-1
@
4.77%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.07%
1-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.07%