/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farmlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
-
Ozan Kabak
10'
-
Orkun Kokcu
34'
-
Kerem Akturkoglu
64'
Armenia vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Farmenia.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for an Armenia win it was 2-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
Result
Armenia
4.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
8.94%
▼
(-0.04)
Turkey
86.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
45.14%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.7%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
25.3%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
54.7%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
45.3%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 4.5
35.18%
Under 4.5
64.82%
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5
46.93%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
53.07%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
13.31%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
86.69%
▼
(-0.17)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
96.19%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
3.81%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
83.74%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
16.26%
▼
(-0.15)
Score analysis
Armenia
4.09%
Draw
8.94%
Turkey
86.96%
Armenia
2-1
@
1.33%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 4.09%
1-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 4.09%
Draw
1-1
@
4.19%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.94%
2-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.94%
Turkey
0-3
@
11.75%
▼
(-0.08)
0-2 @ 10.79% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.09)
0-5 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-6 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
1-6 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
0-7 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
1-7 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.39)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 86.96%
0-2 @ 10.79% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.09)
0-5 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-6 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
1-6 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
0-7 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
1-7 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.39)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 86.96%