/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
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Harry Wilson
47'
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Harry Wilson
60'
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Jordan James
86'
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Domagoj Vida
21'
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Mario Pasalic
75'
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Marcelo Brozovic
89'
Wales vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fwalcro.JPG)
The match
Result
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F37%2Frobert-page.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fwales.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Wales
33.38%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
27.56%
▼
(-0.03)
Croatia
39.07%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
48.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.21%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
56.79%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
22.27%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
77.73%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
9.67%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
90.33%
▼
(-0.07)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
68.17%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
31.83%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
31.73%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
68.27%
▼
(-0.18)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
71.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
28.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
35.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
64.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Wales
33.38%
Draw
27.55%
Croatia
39.06%
Wales
1-0
@
10.31%
2-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.38%
2-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.38%
Draw
1-1
@
13.01%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.55%
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.55%
Croatia
0-1
@
11.37%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 39.06%
1-2 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 39.06%