/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
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Mateo Kovacic
20'
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Mateo Kovacic
45'+4'
Turkey vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F13%2Fturita.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result
Turkey
42.35%
▲
(+1.68)
Draw
26.22%
▼
(-0.35)
Croatia
31.43%
▼
(-1.33)
Both Teams to Score:
52.42%
▲
(+0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
48%
▲
(+1.05)
Under 2.5
52.01%
▼
(-1.05)
Over 3.5
26.26%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 3.5
73.74%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 4.5
12.17%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 4.5
87.84%
▼
(-0.58)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
75.67%
▲
(+1.34)
Under 0.5
24.33%
▼
(-1.34)
Over 1.5
41.28%
▲
(+1.86)
Under 1.5
58.72%
▼
(-1.85)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
69.28%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
30.72%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
33.02%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
66.98%
▲
(+0.45)
Score analysis
Turkey
42.35%
Draw
26.21%
Croatia
31.43%
Turkey
1-0
@
10.56%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.35%
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.35%
Draw
1-1
@
12.46%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.21%
0-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.21%
Croatia
0-1
@
8.82%
▼
(-0.47)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.43%
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.43%
