Netherlands vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.