Euro Champ Qualifying
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Andrej Kramaric
13'
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Josko Gvardiol
21'
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Josip Stanisic
29'
Armenia vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Croatia in this match.
Result
Armenia
15.81%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
21%
▲
(+0.18)
Croatia
63.19%
▼
(-0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
50.06%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.14%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
45.86%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
31.83%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
68.17%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
15.95%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
84.04%
▲
(+0.16)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5
58.12%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
41.87%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
21.67%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
78.32%
▼
(-0.19)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
86.13%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
13.87%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
58.73%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 1.5
41.27%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Armenia
15.81%
Draw
21%
Croatia
63.18%
Armenia
1-0
@
5.06%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.81%
2-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.81%
Draw
1-1
@
9.99%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
0-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
Croatia
0-1
@
11.47%
▲
(+0.04)
0-2 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 63.18%
0-2 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 63.18%