Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi

Turkey
1 - 1
Armenia

Yildirim (88')
Soyuncu (79'), Yildirim (86'), Demiral (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dashyan (49')
Bichakhchyan (27'), Cancarevic (74'), Haroyan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Turkey 2-0 Wales
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	4	2	9
2	Armenia	3	2	6
3	Croatia	2	2	4
4	Wales	4	-3	4
5	Latvia	3	-3	0

Armenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Latvia
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	4	2	9
2	Armenia	3	2	6
3	Croatia	2	2	4
4	Wales	4	-3	4
5	Latvia	3	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 81.11%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 6.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Armenia
81.11% ( -0.1)	12.39% ( 0.06)	6.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.88% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.97% (

-0.12)

32.03% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.4% (

-0.14)

53.6% (

0.14)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.99% (

-0.04)

6.01% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.1% (

-0.12)

22.9% (

0.12)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.88% (

0.04)

50.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.26% (

0.03)

84.74% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Turkey 81.11%

Armenia 6.49%

Draw 12.39%

Turkey	Draw	Armenia
2-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 81.11%	1-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 12.39%	0-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 6.49%