Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 81.11%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 6.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.