Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadyum Samsun

Turkey
2 - 0
Wales

Nayir (72'), Guler (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Spain 2-2 Turkey
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Wales

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 7-1 N. Macedonia
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Wales
43.93% ( -13.66)	21.71% ( -0.87)	34.36% ( 14.53)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

16.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

16.31)

29.83% (

-16.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

17.45)

50.99% (

-17.46)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

1.26)

14.5% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

2.38)

42.49% (

-2.38)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

18.93)

18.38% (

-18.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

24.58)

49.52% (

-24.59)

Score Analysis

Turkey 43.93%

Wales 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Turkey	Draw	Wales
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -1.48) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -5.71) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -5.06) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 1.59) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -2.98) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.83) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.31) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.8) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.99) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.25) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -3.22) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.6) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 2.1) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -1.28) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.43) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.42) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.97) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.22) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.34) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.31) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.85) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.68) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%