/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
-
Umut Nayir
72'
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Arda Guler
80'
Turkey vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F13%2Fturkey.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
Result
Turkey
43.93%
▼
(-13.67)
Draw
21.71%
▼
(-0.87)
Wales
34.36%
▲
(+14.53)
Both Teams to Score:
69.78%
▲
(+16.98)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.16%
▲
(+16.32)
Under 2.5
29.83%
▼
(-16.32)
Over 3.5
49.01%
▲
(+17.46)
Under 3.5
50.99%
▼
(-17.46)
Over 4.5
29.83%
▲
(+14.08)
Under 4.5
70.16%
▼
(-14.08)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
85.5%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 0.5
14.5%
▼
(-1.27)
Over 1.5
57.5%
▲
(+2.38)
Under 1.5
42.49%
▼
(-2.39)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
81.61%
▲
(+18.93)
Under 0.5
18.38%
▼
(-18.94)
Over 1.5
50.48%
▲
(+24.58)
Under 1.5
49.52%
▼
(-24.59)
Score analysis
Turkey
43.93%
Draw
21.71%
Wales
34.36%
Turkey
2-1
@
8.42%
▼
(-1.48)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.68)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-5.72)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-5.07)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+1.59)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-2.99)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.83)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-1.32)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-44.35)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.68)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-5.72)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-5.07)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+1.59)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-2.99)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.83)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-1.32)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-44.35)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
▼
(-2.00)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+2.26)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-3.22)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-96.11)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+2.26)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-3.22)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-96.11)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
Wales
1-2
@
7.38%
▲
(+2.11)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-1.29)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+2.44)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+2.43)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.97)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-91.75)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-40.94)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-37.80)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-23.21)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-1.29)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+2.44)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+2.43)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.97)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-91.75)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-40.94)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-37.80)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-23.21)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%
