Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 35' goal
  • Tigran Barseghyan 90'+1' goal
  • goal Styopa Mkrtchyan 67' (OG)

Armenia vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Wales 2 - 4 Armenia

Latvia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Latvia 2 - 3 Turkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.

Result

Armenia 43.93% (+25.35)
Draw 21.71% (-0.63)
Latvia 34.36% (-24.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.78% (+18.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.16% (+17.07)
Under 2.5 29.83% (-17.07)
Over 3.5 49.01% (+18.16)
Under 3.5 50.99% (-18.16)
Over 4.5 29.83% (+14.57)
Under 4.5 70.16% (-14.58)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 85.5% (+24.63)
Under 0.5 14.5% (-24.64)
Over 1.5 57.5% (+33.34)
Under 1.5 42.49% (-33.35)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 81.61% (-2.88)
Under 0.5 18.38% (+2.88)
Over 1.5 50.48% (-5.11)
Under 1.5 49.52% (+5.10)

Score analysis

Armenia 43.93%
Draw 21.71%
Latvia 34.36%
Armenia
2-1 @ 8.42% (+3.44)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+3.87)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.55)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+2.30)
3-2 @ 4.59% (+3.14)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-80.41)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-33.89)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-31.89)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-18.06)
4-3 @ 1.25% (-19.95)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-5.89)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.72% (-1.90)
2-2 @ 7.13% (+2.49)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-3.41)
3-3 @ 2.59% (-87.61)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
Latvia
1-2 @ 7.38% (-2.51)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-6.80)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-1.98)
2-3 @ 4.03% (+1.15)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-6.71)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-4.39)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-1.10)
2-4 @ 1.71% (+0.37)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-40.91)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%