Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Armenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
Latvia national football team

Armenia
2 - 1
Latvia

Tiknizyan (35'), Barseghyan (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mkrtchyan (67' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-4 Armenia
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Latvia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Latvia 2-3 Turkey
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawLatvia
43.93% (25.35 25.35)21.71% (-0.624 -0.62)34.36% (-24.731 -24.73)
Both teams to score 69.78% (18.352 18.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (17.061 17.06)29.83% (-17.065 -17.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (18.154 18.15)50.99% (-18.159 -18.16)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (24.624 24.62)14.5% (-24.63 -24.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (33.34 33.34)42.49% (-33.346 -33.35)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-2.874 -2.87)18.38% (2.87 2.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-5.101 -5.1)49.52% (5.096 5.1)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 43.93%
    Latvia 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
ArmeniaDrawLatvia
2-1 @ 8.42% (3.437 3.44)
3-1 @ 5.42% (3.86 3.86)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-0 @ 4.97% (2.297 2.3)
3-2 @ 4.59% (3.137 3.14)
3-0 @ 3.2% (2.363 2.36)
4-1 @ 2.62% (2.251 2.25)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.875 1.88)
4-0 @ 1.54% (1.348 1.35)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.039 1.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.941 0.94)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-1.893 -1.89)
2-2 @ 7.13% (2.489 2.49)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-3.405 -3.41)
3-3 @ 2.59% (1.689 1.69)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-2.506 -2.51)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-6.797 -6.8)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-1.975 -1.98)
2-3 @ 4.03% (1.143 1.14)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-6.707 -6.71)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-4.388 -4.39)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-1.097 -1.1)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.362 0.36)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.677 0.68)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-2.136 -2.14)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Armenia vs Latvia

Armenia
79.2%
Draw
13.9%
Latvia
6.9%
72