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UEFA Nations League

Andorra national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 25, 2022 at 2pm UK
 
Latvia national football team

Andorra
1 - 1
Latvia

Rosas Ubach (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutkovskis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Andorra and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Andorra
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Latvia

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Moldova
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
AndorraDrawLatvia
24.32% (0.038 0.04)26.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.69% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.045000000000002 0.05)58.65% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)79.2% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (0.059999999999995 0.06)39.97% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (0.054000000000002 0.05)76.63% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.19% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Andorra 24.32%
    Latvia 48.69%
    Draw 26.99%
AndorraDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 13.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 48.69%

How you voted: Andorra vs Latvia

Andorra
18.6%
Draw
11.8%
Latvia
69.6%
102
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 5pm
League D1
Latvia
3-0
Andorra
Uldrikis (9', 77'), Ikaunieks (85' pen.)
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
League D1
Andorra
0-5
Latvia

Garcia (9'), Fernandez (12'), Vieira (31'), Cervos (51'), Sanchez (84')
Garcia (90')
Cernomordijs (6'), Ikaunieks (57', 60'), Gutkovskis (70' pen.), Krollis (90' pen.)
Kamess (7'), Ikaunieks (9'), Zjuzins (15'), Ontuzans (81')
Sep 3, 2020 5pm
League D1
Latvia
0-0
Andorra

Gutkovskis (71')

Rebes (11'), Rubio (34'), Vales (52'), San Nicolas (71'), Pujol (74')
Nov 19, 2018 5pm
League D1
Andorra
0-0
Latvia

Cervos (2'), Alaez (40'), Garcia (51')

Ciganiks (9'), Uldrikis (89')
Sabala (38')
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League D1
Latvia
0-0
Andorra

Jagodinskis (54'), Gutkovskis (90')

Martinez (20'), Vales (26'), Rubio (54'), Lima (73'), Alaez (77')