Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
