Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Education City Stadium

Croatia
5 - 0
Latvia

Petkovic (3', 44'), Ivanusec (13'), Kramaric (68'), Pasalic (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

CigaÅ†iks (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Croatia and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Croatia 0-0 Spain (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, June 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	4	2	9
2	Armenia	3	2	6
3	Croatia	2	2	4
4	Wales	4	-3	4
5	Latvia	3	-3	0

Latvia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Latvia
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	4	2	9
2	Armenia	3	2	6
3	Croatia	2	2	4
4	Wales	4	-3	4
5	Latvia	3	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Latvia
51.69% ( -0.11)	26.68% ( 0.03)	21.63% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 43.54% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

-0.04)

59.72% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

-0.03)

80.02% (

0.03)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

-0.07)

23.29% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.78% (

-0.1)

57.22% (

0.1)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.76% (

0.06)

43.24% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51% (

0.05)

79.49% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Croatia 51.69%

Latvia 21.63%

Draw 26.68%

Croatia	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 14.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.69%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.63%