Friendlies 1

Oct 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wales
4 - 0
Gibraltar

Davies (22'), Moore (26', 45'), Broadhead (35')
Poole (41')

FT(HT: 4-0)

De Barr (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Wales and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	4	8	10
2	Turkey	5	2	10
3	Armenia	5	1	7
4	Wales	5	-1	7
5	Latvia	5	-10	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Greece 5-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	5	11	15
2	Greece	5	5	9
3	Netherlands	4	3	9
4	Republic of Ireland	5	-2	3
5	Gibraltar	5	-17	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 93.32%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 4-0 (14.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.25%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Gibraltar
93.32% ( -1.09)	5.71% ( 0.97)	0.97% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 17.39% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.51% (

-4.86)

33.49% (

4.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.72% (

-5.76)

55.28% (

5.76)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.03% (

-0.89)

3.97% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.21% (

-2.97)

16.79% (

2.97)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

18.1% (

-1.4)

81.89% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.75% (

-0.29)

98.25% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Wales 93.3%

Gibraltar 0.97%

Draw 5.71%

Wales	Draw	Gibraltar
3-0 @ 18.2% ( 0.78) 2-0 @ 16.92% ( 1.9) 4-0 @ 14.67% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 1.85) 5-0 @ 9.47% ( -1.06) 6-0 @ 5.09% ( -1.02) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.36) 7-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.69) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.4) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.31) 8-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.31% Total : 93.3%	0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.77) 1-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.36% Total : 5.71%	Other @ 0.97% Total : 0.97%