/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgiblog_1.png)
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Ben Davies
22'
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Kieffer Moore
26'
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Nathan Broadhead
35'
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Regan Poole
41'
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Kieffer Moore
45'
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Tjay De Barr
24'
Wales vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 93.32%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 4-0 (14.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.25%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
Result
Wales
93.32%
▼
(-1.09)
Draw
5.71%
▲
(+0.97)
Gibraltar
0.97%
▲
(+11.81)
Both Teams to Score:
17.39%
▼
(-1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.51%
▼
(-4.86)
Under 2.5
33.49%
▲
(+4.87)
Over 3.5
44.72%
▼
(-5.77)
Under 3.5
55.28%
▲
(+5.77)
Over 4.5
26.05%
▼
(-5.13)
Under 4.5
73.94%
▲
(+5.13)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
96.03%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 0.5
3.97%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 1.5
83.21%
▼
(-2.97)
Under 1.5
16.79%
▲
(+2.97)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5
18.1%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 0.5
81.89%
▲
(+1.40)
Over 1.5
1.75%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
98.25%
▲
(+0.30)
Score analysis
Wales
93.3%
Draw
5.71%
Gibraltar
0.97%
Wales
3-0
@
18.2%
▲
(+0.78)
2-0 @ 16.92% ▲ (+1.91)
4-0 @ 14.67% ▼ (-0.49)
1-0 @ 10.49% ▲ (+1.85)
5-0 @ 9.47% ▼ (-1.07)
6-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-1.02)
3-1 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.36)
7-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.69)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.40)
6-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 93.3%
2-0 @ 16.92% ▲ (+1.91)
4-0 @ 14.67% ▼ (-0.49)
1-0 @ 10.49% ▲ (+1.85)
5-0 @ 9.47% ▼ (-1.07)
6-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-1.02)
3-1 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.36)
7-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.69)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.40)
6-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 93.3%
Draw
0-0
@
3.25%
▲
(+0.77)
1-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 5.71%
1-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 5.71%
Gibraltar
Other @
0.97%
Total : 0.97%
Total : 0.97%