Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 8.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	Gibraltar
76.78% ( -0.99)	14.38% ( 0.39)	8.84% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.2% (

0.26)

32.8% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.51% (

0.3)

54.49% (

-0.3)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93% (

-0.14)

7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.38% (

-0.37)

25.61% (

0.37)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.17% (

1.53)

44.82% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.21% (

1.21)

80.79% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Malta 76.78%

Gibraltar 8.84%

Draw 14.38%

Malta	Draw	Gibraltar
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.78%	1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 14.38%	1-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.67% Total : 8.84%