Malta national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 7, 2020 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Gibraltar national football team

Malta
2 - 0
Gibraltar

Nwoko (8'), Caruana (90')
Borg (57'), Muscatt (71'), Montebello (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Badr Hassan (68'), Sergeant (68'), Wiseman (71'), (83')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Malta and Gibraltar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawGibraltar
65.32%20.63%14.05%
Both teams to score 47.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29%47.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1%69.9%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19%13.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85%41.15%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7%81.3%
Score Analysis
    Malta 65.3%
    Gibraltar 14.05%
    Draw 20.63%
MaltaDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 4.02%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 65.3%
1-1 @ 9.8%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.63%
0-1 @ 4.95%
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 1.95%
1-3 @ 1.02%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.05%

rhs 2.0


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