Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion Antona Malatinskeho

Ukraine
1 - 0
Malta

Tsygankov (72' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-3 Ukraine
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	9
2	Italy	2	1	3
3	North Macedonia	2	0	3
4	Ukraine	2	-1	3
5	Malta	3	-7	0

Malta

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 0-4 England
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	9
2	Italy	2	1	3
3	North Macedonia	2	0	3
4	Ukraine	2	-1	3
5	Malta	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Malta
43.93% ( -19.35)	21.71% ( -1.05)	34.36% ( 20.39)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

28.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

26.16)

29.83% (

-26.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

26.09)

50.99% (

-26.1)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

2.76)

14.5% (

-2.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

5.08)

42.49% (

-5.08)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

32.25)

18.38% (

-32.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

35.58)

49.52% (

-35.58)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 43.93%

Malta 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Ukraine	Draw	Malta
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -10.2) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -8.51) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 2.76) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -4.7) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.41) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.93) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.07) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.72) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 4.01) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -6.07) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 2.18) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 3.83) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -1.43) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 3.36) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 3.32) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1.8) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.7) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.63) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.58) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 1.03) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.84) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%