/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog.png)
-
Viktor Tsygankov
72'
Ukraine vs Malta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
Result
Ukraine
43.93%
▼
(-19.35)
Draw
21.71%
▼
(-1.06)
Malta
34.36%
▲
(+20.40)
Both Teams to Score:
69.78%
▲
(+28.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.16%
▲
(+26.16)
Under 2.5
29.83%
▼
(-26.17)
Over 3.5
49.01%
▲
(+26.10)
Under 3.5
50.99%
▼
(-26.10)
Over 4.5
29.83%
▲
(+19.78)
Under 4.5
70.16%
▼
(-19.78)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
85.5%
▲
(+2.76)
Under 0.5
14.5%
▼
(-2.77)
Over 1.5
57.5%
▲
(+5.08)
Under 1.5
42.49%
▼
(-5.09)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5
81.61%
▲
(+32.26)
Under 0.5
18.38%
▼
(-32.26)
Over 1.5
50.48%
▲
(+35.58)
Under 1.5
49.52%
▼
(-35.58)
Score analysis
Ukraine
43.93%
Draw
21.71%
Malta
34.36%
Ukraine
2-1
@
8.42%
▼
(-0.77)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-10.21)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-8.52)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+2.77)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-4.70)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.26)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-78.09)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-1.93)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-16.95)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-81.99)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
3-1 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-10.21)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-8.52)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+2.77)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-4.70)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.26)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-78.09)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-1.93)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-16.95)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-81.99)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
▼
(-1.73)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+4.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-6.08)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-38.91)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+4.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-6.08)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-38.91)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
Malta
1-2
@
7.38%
▲
(+3.83)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-1.44)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-76.44)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-66.78)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+1.80)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-43.75)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-11.94)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-10.40)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-6.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-1.44)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-76.44)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-66.78)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+1.80)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-43.75)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-11.94)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-10.40)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-6.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%