Euro Champ Qualifying
N. Macedonia
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Tose Proeski Arena
Ukraine
  • Enis Bardhi 31' goal
  • Eljif Elmas 39' goal
  • goal Illia Zabarnyi 62'
  • goal Yukhym Konoplya 67'
  • goal Viktor Tsygankov 83'

North Macedonia vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
N. Macedonia 2 - 1 Malta

Ukraine

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 5.00pm
England 2 - 0 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result

North Macedonia 41.72% ▼ (-2.03)
Draw 28.4% ▲ (+0.48)
Ukraine 29.88% ▲ (+1.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.38% ▼ (-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.35% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 2.5 60.65% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 3.5 19.27% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 3.5 80.73% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 4.5 7.92% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 4.5 92.08% ▲ (+0.46)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 0.5 28.66% ▲ (+1.60)
Over 1.5 35.52% ▼ (-2.05)
Under 1.5 64.48% ▲ (+2.05)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 63.61% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 0.5 36.39% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 1.5 26.82% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 73.17% ▼ (-0.65)

Score analysis

North Macedonia 41.72%
Draw 28.38%
Ukraine 29.87%
North Macedonia
1-0 @ 13.03% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.28)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.34)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.38%
Ukraine
0-1 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.59)
1-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.87%

Head to Head

European Championship
Ukraine
Jun 17, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
N. Macedonia
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 29' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 34' goal
  • Mykola Shaparenko 43' yellowcard
  • goal Ezgjan Alioski 57'
  • yellowcard Darko Velkovski 59'
  • yellowcard Daniel Avramovski 83'
European Championship
N. Macedonia
Oct 9, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukraine
  • Vladica Brdarovski 45' yellowcard
  • Leonard Zhuta 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yevhen Khacheridi 9'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Sydorchuk 36'
  • goal Yevhen Seleznyov 59'
  • goal Artem Kravets 87'
European Championship
Ukraine
Oct 12, 2014 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
N. Macedonia
  • Artem Fedeckyj 42' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Sydorchuk 45' goal
  • Sergiy Sydorchuk 45' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Rotan 72' yellowcard
  • Pylyp Budkivsky 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adis Jahovic 30'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Damcevski 39'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Trajkovski 59'
  • yellowcard Besart Abdurahimi 63'
  • yellowcard Krste Velkoski 93'

Form Data

N. Macedonia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands
N. Macedonia 2 - 1 Malta
N. Macedonia 1 - 3 Azerbaijan
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 Finland
Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 N. Macedonia
N. Macedonia 0 - 1 Bulgaria
Germany 3 - 3 Ukraine
England 2 - 0 Ukraine
Ukraine 0 - 0 Scotland
Armenia 0 - 5 Ukraine
Scotland 3 - 0 Ukraine
Ukraine 1 - 1 Rep. Ireland