Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.