/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fenglog.png)
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Ferdinando Apap
8'
(OG)
-
Trent Alexander-Arnold
28'
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Harry Kane
31'
-
Callum Wilson
83'
Malta vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F24%2Ftaa.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Fengkan.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 87.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 3.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.2%) and 0-4 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
Result
Malta
3.32%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
9.34%
▼
(-0.03)
England
87.34%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
34.72%
▼
(-0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.63%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
33.37%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 3.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 4.5
26.17%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
73.83%
▲
(+0.29)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5
36.59%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
63.41%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
7.7%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
92.3%
▲
(+0.24)
England Goals
Over 0.5
94.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
5.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
79.73%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
20.27%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Malta
3.32%
Draw
9.35%
England
87.32%
Malta
1-0
@
1.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 3.32%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 3.32%
Draw
1-1
@
4.38%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 9.35%
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 9.35%
England
0-2
@
14.31%
▲
(+0.15)
0-3 @ 14.2% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.06)
0-6 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-6 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-7 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 87.32%
0-3 @ 14.2% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.06)
0-6 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-6 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-7 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 87.32%