Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Infetti Ground

Malta
0 - 4
England

FT(HT: 0-3)

Apap (8' og.), Alexander-Arnold (28'), Kane (31' pen.), Wilson (83' pen.)

Reaction

England's Bukayo Saka receives treatment for an injury on June 16, 2023

Gareth Southgate plays down Bukayo Saka injury fears after Malta win

England manager Gareth Southgate plays down fears of an injury to Bukayo Saka following the attacker's early withdrawal in their 4-0 Euro 2024 qualifying win over Malta.

Jun 17, 07:59

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Malta
Friday, June 9 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	2	3	6
2	Italy	2	1	3
3	North Macedonia	1	1	3
4	Ukraine	1	-2	0
5	Malta	2	-3	0

England

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: England 2-0 Ukraine
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	2	3	6
2	Italy	2	1	3
3	North Macedonia	1	1	3
4	Ukraine	1	-2	0
5	Malta	2	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 87.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 3.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.2%) and 0-4 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	England
3.32% ( -0.06)	9.34% ( -0.02)	87.34% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 34.72% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.63% (

-0.29)

33.37% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.86% (

-0.33)

55.14% (

0.33)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.59% (

-0.52)

63.41% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.7% (

-0.24)

92.3% (

0.24)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.9% (

-0.03)

5.1% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.73% (

-0.11)

20.27% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Malta 3.32%

England 87.32%

Draw 9.35%

Malta	Draw	England
1-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 3.32%	1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 9.35%	0-2 @ 14.31% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 14.2% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 10.57% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 3.12% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-7 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 87.32%