Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
3 - 0
Gibraltar

Johnston (52'), Ferguson (59'), Idah (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Republic of Ireland and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	8	9
2	Greece	2	4	6
3	Netherlands	2	-1	3
4	Republic of Ireland	2	-2	0
5	Gibraltar	3	-9	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 France
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	8	9
2	Greece	2	4	6
3	Netherlands	2	-1	3
4	Republic of Ireland	2	-2	0
5	Gibraltar	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Gibraltar
43.93% ( -55.12)	21.71% ( 20.82)	34.36% ( 34.3)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

62.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

-18)

29.83% (

18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

-25.55)

50.99% (

25.55)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

-13.83)

14.5% (

13.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

-38.45)

42.49% (

38.45)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

74.16)

18.38% (

-74.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

50.2)

49.52% (

-50.2)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 43.93%

Gibraltar 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Gibraltar
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 7.81) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 4.41) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 2.03) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -2.83) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 4.55) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -9.79) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 1.36) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 2.17) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -14.7) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.25) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( 8.48) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 7.11) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( 2.04) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 2.59) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 7.37) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 4.47) 1-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 4.02) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 3.82) 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.71% 3-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%