Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 15' goal
  • Giorgos Masouras 49' goal
  • goal Nathan Collins 27'

Greece vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gibraltar 0 - 3 Greece

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 0 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result

Greece 58.71% (-1.60)
Draw 24.94% (+0.26)
Republic of Ireland 16.35% (+1.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.22% (+1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.26% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 59.74% (-1.01)
Over 3.5 19.96% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 80.04% (-0.77)
Over 4.5 8.31% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 91.68% (-0.44)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 79.63% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 20.36% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 47.23% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 52.77% (+0.37)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 50.51% (+2.48)
Under 0.5 49.49% (-2.48)
Over 1.5 15.7% (+1.69)
Under 1.5 84.3% (-1.69)

Score analysis

Greece 58.71%
Draw 24.93%
Republic of Ireland 16.35%
Greece
1-0 @ 16.03% (-0.74)
2-0 @ 12.76% (-0.67)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.41)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.40)
2-2 @ 3.16% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.93%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 3.97% (+0.38)
0-2 @ 2.49% (+0.26)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 16.35%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jose Holebas 0'