Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Greece
2 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Bakasetas (15' pen.), Masouras (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Collins (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 0-0 Lithuania
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	2	5	6
2	Greece	1	3	3
3	Netherlands	2	-1	3
4	Republic of Ireland	1	-1	0
5	Gibraltar	2	-6	0

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	2	5	6
2	Greece	1	3	3
3	Netherlands	2	-1	3
4	Republic of Ireland	1	-1	0
5	Gibraltar	2	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result
Greece	Draw	Republic of Ireland
58.71% ( -1.6)	24.94% ( 0.26)	16.35% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 40.22% (

1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.26% (

59.74% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.96% (

0.76)

80.04% (

-0.76)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

-0.23)

20.36% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23% (

-0.36)

52.77% (

0.36)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.51% (

2.48)

49.49% (

-2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.7% (

1.68)

84.3% (

-1.68)

Score Analysis

Greece 58.71%

Republic of Ireland 16.35%

Draw 24.93%

Greece	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 16.03% ( -0.74) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.71%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.35%