Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.