Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 80.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.28%) and 1-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.