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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
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Dusan Tadic
16'
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Dusan Vlahovic
53'
Serbia vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.67%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Serbia Goals
Lithuania Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 13.67% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 86.46%
0-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.79%
1-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 3.74%
