Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 98.34%. A draw had a probability of 1.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 4-0 with a probability of 19.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (19.05%) and 5-0 (15.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.66%) The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.