Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Greece national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Gibraltar national football team

Greece
5 - 0
Gibraltar

Pelkas (9'), Mavropanos (23', 82'), Masouras (70', 90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pozo (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Greece
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 1-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, September 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 98.34%. A draw had a probability of 1.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 4-0 with a probability of 19.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (19.05%) and 5-0 (15.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.66%) The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
GreeceDrawGibraltar
98.34% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)1.66% (0.05 0.05)0%
Both teams to score 0%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.57% (-0.419 -0.42)22.43% (0.42 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.52% (-0.573 -0.57)41.48% (0.574 0.57)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.34% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)1.66% (0.05 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
91.53% (-0.203 -0.2)8.47% (0.204 0.2)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
0%100% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0%100% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Greece 98.32%
    Gibraltar 0%
    Draw 1.66%
GreeceDrawGibraltar
4-0 @ 19.51% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
3-0 @ 19.05% (0.16 0.16)
5-0 @ 15.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 13.95% (0.22 0.22)
6-0 @ 10.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.154 0.15)
7-0 @ 6.39% (-0.137 -0.14)
8-0 @ 3.27% (-0.095 -0.1)
9-0 @ 1.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 98.32%
0-0 @ 1.66% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0%
Total : 1.66%

How you voted: Greece vs Gibraltar

Greece
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Gibraltar
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-3
Greece
Masouras (11'), Siopis (45'), Bakasetas (58')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Greece
4-0
Gibraltar
Torosidis (32'), Mitroglou (61', 63'), Gianniotas (78')
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
1-4
Greece
Walker (26')
Mitroglou (10'), Wiseman (44' og.), Fortounis (45'), Torosidis (47')