Euro Champ Qualifying
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Marten de Roon
17'
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Cody Gakpo
31'
-
Wout Weghorst
39'
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Nathan Ake
43'
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Virgil van Dijk
90'+1'
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Emmanouil Siopis
11'
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Kostas Tsimikas
44'
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Dimitrios Kourbelis
68'
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Petros Mantalos
75'
Netherlands vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Greece had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
Result
Netherlands
42.12%
▼
(-1.64)
Draw
26.73%
▲
(+0.31)
Greece
31.15%
▲
(+1.33)
Both Teams to Score:
50.71%
▼
(-0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.85%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 2.5
54.16%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 3.5
24.43%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 3.5
75.57%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 4.5
11%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 4.5
89%
▲
(+0.38)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5
74.59%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 0.5
25.41%
▲
(+1.15)
Over 1.5
39.78%
▼
(-1.59)
Under 1.5
60.22%
▲
(+1.60)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5
67.98%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 0.5
32.02%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 1.5
31.52%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 1.5
68.49%
▼
(-0.67)
Score analysis
Netherlands
42.12%
Draw
26.72%
Greece
31.15%
Netherlands
1-0
@
11.14%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.12%
2-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.12%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
Greece
0-1
@
9.27%
▲
(+0.40)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.15%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.15%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
International Friendlies
-
Georginio Wijnaldum
14'
-
Steven Berghuis
75'
-
Konstantinos Manolas
10'
-
Konstantinos Mitroglou
29'
-
Giannis Gianniotas
74'