Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

Netherlands
3 - 0
Greece

de Roon (17'), Gakpo (31'), Weghorst (39')
Ake (43'), van Dijk (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Siopis (11'), Tsimikas (44'), Kourbelis (68'), Mantalos (75')

Reaction

Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023

Manchester City's Nathan Ake suffers injury scare on international duty

Manchester City's Nathan Ake suffers an injury scare on international duty as he is forced off at half time in the Netherlands' Euro 2024 qualifying win over Greece.

Sep 8, 16:58

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Greece.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Italy
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	4	9	12
2	Greece	3	3	6
3	Republic of Ireland	3	1	3
4	Netherlands	2	-1	3
5	Gibraltar	4	-12	0

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	4	9	12
2	Greece	3	3	6
3	Republic of Ireland	3	1	3
4	Netherlands	2	-1	3
5	Gibraltar	4	-12	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Greece had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Greece
42.12% ( -1.63)	26.73% ( 0.3)	31.15% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85% (

-0.71)

54.16% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

-0.6)

75.57% (

0.6)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-1.14)

25.41% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-1.59)

60.22% (

1.59)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

0.59)

32.02% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

0.66)

68.49% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 42.12%

Greece 31.15%

Draw 26.72%

Netherlands	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.15%